SPFI16-1002 — Threat Modeling, Simulation, And Analysis Guidance

SPFI16-1002 governs threat modeling, simulation, and analysis guidance across the United States Space Force.

Search SPFI16-1002

  • Publication number: SPFI16-1002
  • Title: THREAT MODELING, SIMULATION, AND ANALYSIS GUIDANCE
  • Date: 2025-11-20

View SPFI16-1002 on armypubs.army.mil

It addresses threat representation in scenarios, authorized model types, model access, and acceptable use. It requires DIAAE authoritative threat intelligence for threat models used across the USSF MS&A enterprise.

Applies to: This publication applies to all civilian employees and uniformed members of the United States Space Force (USSF) and those with a contractual obligation to abide by the terms of Department of the Air Force (DAF) issuances, except where otherwise noted.

Topics covered

  • Threat representation in scenarios
  • Threat model types
  • DIAAE authoritative threat intelligence
  • Model access and acceptable use
  • Analytic excursions
  • Space Threat Model & Simulation Committee

Questions and answers

What must happen when an analytic excursion changes threat data?

When such analytic excursions are conducted and require threat data to deviate from established intelligence analytical record, then the MS&A activity must be clearly identified as excursions and include specific explanations of (1) how the threat data in the MS&A event deviates from the relevant authoritative DIAAE assessments and (2) why that excursion was used. (paragraph 4)

What threat model types are authorized?

Within the USSF MS&A enterprise, four broad threat model types will be used: Parametric, Physical, Behavioral, and Physics (see Attachment 2). (paragraph 5)

Where do USSF MS&A entities access authoritative models?

USSF MS&A entities will access DIAAE authoritative models via the DIA enterprise model repository. (paragraph 6)

Which foreign space and adversary counterspace threat models are not permitted?

Foreign space and adversary counterspace threat models not produced and/or validated by the DIAAE are not permitted. (paragraph 6)

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